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Thursday, September 29, 2016

The disappointing results of the first years of the Cice


The cost credit for Competitiveness and Employment (CICE) is the key measure - with the understanding of obligation - financial methodology of Francois Hollande. This contraption is a cost credit on the fund of 4% for 2013 and 6% then concentrating on pay up to 2.5 times the most minimal pay allowed by law. Its communicated goal was to help the power of French associations.

If the cost of CICE is exceptional - in 2013 and 2014, the measure of corporate commitment signified € 28.7 billion - appraisal of its possessions is mind boggling, as affirm by the report conveyed on 29 September by the watching board, drove by France Strategy, body attached to Matignon. This checking board tries to answer a couple of request: the IECC has he accomplished his target in restaurant business force? Has it diminished unemployment? Has it been used by associations to select, contribute, raise remuneration, or did he stay in their records?

Scrutinized in like manner: CICE: Bercy contributed € 18.6 billion to associations 

The response of Philip Askenazy, CNRS researcher and one of the expert people from the watching chamber, shows the inconvenience of specialists: "In 2013-2014, the IECC did not enormously influence the occupation, the effect on wages has been to a great degree limited and that the edges remains astoundingly debatable. "

As demonstrated by Bruno Landing, co-official of LIEPP, interdisciplinary examination office appraisal of open procedures Sciences Po, challenges in assessing the impact of CICE is illuminated by its to a great degree nature. "It is neither a centered around obligation credit or a reducing of costs: once in the association accounts, it is difficult to tail," he elucidates. Review as often as possible sent to the contraption, arranged from birth to "gas plant" by associations.

The CICE and occupation: a bewildering impact

The CICE has "[probably] straightforwardly influenced the solicitation of 50 000 to 100 000 occupations made or saved to the 2013-2014 period", ie the underlying two years of its execution, the board said in a notice disseminated Wednesday, September 28. "The same kind of study coordinated after the diminished charges of the Juppé government on low wages in 1997 incited the making of 200 000 to 400 000 occupations in three years," says Philippe Askenazy.

Besides, an effect on edges, non-existent on hypothesis, R and D and charges 

The CICE has "no recognizable effect on endeavor, R and D and passages. "Research comes to fruition" [suggest] that associations have devoted a basic part of the IECC in changing their edges. " But without however possible to see essential differences between the efficiency of the associations that got an extensive measure of CICE, and those that were less ...

The issue of edges is still the most discussed. If the sums of CICE have served or make livelihoods or contribute, past where are they? The checking board expected to swing to figure. "One illustration would be that essential effects of CICE voyaged [...] by worth changes, between associations or to families," he battles. Toward the day's end, associations that have generally impacted the most CICE (little and those in the organizations portion, whose pay are all around lower than in industry) have passed these cost diminishments on their way more customers or less ponder.

The dull circumstance CICE 

Moreover, in case this appraisal credit had the effect of cutting down the offering taken a toll? "It would be a most desperate result conceivable: the CICE not entirely was financed by extending VAT [increased from 19.6% to 20% on 1 January 2014] and it would have served to lower offering costs. It is the serpent chewing its tail! It would not be sure to associations, and by no to the state, "Mr. Askenazy fears.

Notwithstanding the finding, the organization stays hopeful 

"Given the dynamic addition of the IECC, the work effects will essentially be more basic this year. Additionally, in spite of the way that associations seen just began to replicate occupations until 2015. The typical effects of the CICE on theory and admissions may not show up in the more expanded term, "says the world Michel Sapin, Minister of economy. He was console in his target of getting the CICE of 6% to 7% of fund in 2017.
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